February 27, 2025 This week we’re looking at Crypto ETFs. The coins and related equities were strong through last November’s election but have been retracing gains over the past 3 months. We evaluate the trends to determine where we think opportunities may lie. Bitcoin Near-term Oversold The BTC:USD chart (below) shows the coin bouncing from […]
Evidence of buyer fatigue is accumulating negative momentum divergences develop across Growth leadership themes
Tactical Tuesday Report: Value Stocks Take the Lead Supported by Low Vol. Exposures Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P500 index fell 1.7% this week but remains in positive territory year to date, holding at 2.2%. The S&P 500 notched two new record highs but also logged its worst day of the year—all in the same week. Stocks tumbled on Friday after weaker-than-expected economic reports suggested President Trump’s policies could impact U.S.
Performance Summary: Week Ending February 21st, 2025 Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P500 index fell 1.7% this week but remains in positive territory year to date, holding at 2.2%. The S&P 500 notched two new record highs but also logged its worst day of the year—all in the same week. Stocks tumbled on Friday after weaker-than-expected economic reports suggested President Trump’s policies could impact U.S.
Performance Summary: Week Ending February 21st, 2025 Read More »
February 21, 2025 We wanted to change the usual cadence of our Factor Friday report this week to review longer-term trend in factor investing with an aim to give our readers more context for interpreting current factor behavior. We will be back with our regular format next week when we will be surveying our indicator
Factor Friday: Examining Longer-Term Factor Performance Trends Read More »
February 19, 2025 In mid-January, when we took our last chart-based tour around the globe, we noted that a brief reprieve for ex-US equities coincided with headwinds to US Mega Cap. Growth stocks and that international equities were acting similarly to the “average” stock in the US as proxied by the equal weight S&P 500
Worldwide Wednesday: EAFE Equities Outperforming to Start 2025 Read More »
Why are rates moving lower while commodities prices are moving higher? Our thought experiment leads us to a negative conclusion.
February 13, 2025 We are excited to introduce a new flavor of our “Thematic Thursday” cyclical, the Deep Dive, where we look through to the stocks and fundamental characteristics that are driving performance in the most notable thematic funds. MILN: A Standout Performer over the Past 6-Months We start our new feature with MILN, the
Thematic Thursday Report: Millennial Consumer Fund (MILN) Deep Dive Read More »
The S&P 500 continues to move sideways across its long-term uptrend channel (chart below). After hitting uptrend channel resistance, it looks like prices are consolidating sideways in a bid to correct the trend in time rather than price. The 200-day moving average, currently at 5665, is a good proxy for trend channel support and we’ve
Tactical Tuesday Report: Growth or Value Leadership, We Review our Indicators Read More »
February 10, 2025 The S&P 500 continues in a consolidation pattern that started in early December. The index made a marginal new high on January 23rd, but the buyer couldn’t sustain above that level for longer than a day. The move sets up a negative momentum divergence in the RSI and MACD oscillators (chart below,
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Consumer is the Pivot Read More »
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