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Weekly Performance Summary

Performance Summary: Week Ending March 28th, 2025

COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 fell this week, down 1.5%, as investors waited for clarity on the tariffs due to go into effect on April 2nd. Rising inflation and weakening consumer sentiment also contributed to market declines. Consumer Staples was the only sector with a positive return this week, up 1.4%, as investors seek to rotate

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Factor Friday: S&P 500 Rally Looking Tired Setting Up Low Vol. in the Near-term

March 28, 2025 The S&P 500 has rallied off recent lows made on March 13, but the RSI momentum study (chart below, panel 3) has hit a near-term peak at an area of expected near-term resistance.  Equities have been setting up for a pivot on Wednesday April 2 as the Trump Administration will be announcing

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Worldwide Wednesday: Rotation into ex-US Equities has been a Theme of 2025

March 26, 2025 Rotation out of US equities has been a boon for ex-US stocks in 2025.  However, the last 2-weeks have seen a pull-back as investors kick the tires on discounted US shares and take profits from some parabolic moves in European and Chinese equities.  As we’ve mentioned in several of our recent columns,

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Tactical Tuesday Report: Growth Factor Performance Likely a “Tell” in the Near-term

March 25, 2025 The S&P 500 has now rallied back above its 200-day moving average (chart below).  We continue to believe this rally represents the second (counter-trend) leg of an A-B-C correction where we would look for signs of selling exhaustion on the 2nd leg lower.  We are expecting the current rally to fail in

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Performance Summary: Week Ending March 21st, 2025

COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 index got some help during Wednesday and Friday’s trading sessions to stop five weeks in a row of losses, to eke out a fifty-basis point gain for the week. The index has been swimming against the tide of the “Mag-7” stocks showing their worst-performing quarter in two years. The Energy Sector

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Factor Friday: Equity Leadership Rotates to Value and Income

Rotation away from Growth continues.  We think there’s more upside for commodities related stocks in the near-term which supports continued outperformance in the Value trade.  We will be looking closely at performance of defensive sectors and factors vs. those that offer exposure to Growth to try and sus out the next potential pivot for the US equity market.  We don’t have high conviction signals to move off a defensive posture in our positioning yet.

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Tactical Tuesday Report: S&P 500 Remains on the Ropes Despite Recent Attempts at a Rally

March 18, 2025 The S&P 500 is attempting a rally with yesterday’s positive close marking the first consecutive positive closes since the current correction began on February 19.  Discretionary shares continue to see performance nosedive vs. the S&P 500 while buyers are starting to kick the tires on Tech shares here.  The sector performance chart

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