ETFSector.com April Outlook: S&P 500
Please click the link below for our views on technical, fundamental and economic developments driving the S&P 500 as we start April. S&P 500 April Outlook
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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Anyone Shopping the Sale?
We remain skeptical of equities current attempt at a rally. No signs of enthusiasm for discounted Growth themes at these levels so far. Financials are acting better among bull market exposures.
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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | NVDA Remains the Bull’s Bellwether
NVDA’s stock chart is taking on a distributional look. The buyer reaction in the near-term is likely important to the US equity bull market
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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | When is Correction Likely to Give way to Accumulation?
March 8, 2025 A week into March, US equities sit in a precarious position. The S&P 500 (chart below, 1yr daily) is at near-term support and has formed negative momentum divergences on both of our favored oscillator studies, the MACD and the RSI (chart, panels 2 & 3). The index bounced last Friday after hitting
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Bullish Momentum is Waning, Setting the Stage for a Potential Correction
February 23, 2025 The bullish trend for US equities matured in 2024 and is showing signs of fatigue to begin 2025. We are seeing several negative momentum divergences across important market bellwethers from the Mag7 to Housing to the S&P 500 itself. US equities are losing momentum to the upside and investors are starting to
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Dance Between Rates and Commodities Prices Continues
Why are rates moving lower while commodities prices are moving higher? Our thought experiment leads us to a negative conclusion.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Consumer is the Pivot
February 10, 2025 The S&P 500 continues in a consolidation pattern that started in early December. The index made a marginal new high on January 23rd, but the buyer couldn’t sustain above that level for longer than a day. The move sets up a negative momentum divergence in the RSI and MACD oscillators (chart below,
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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Lessons Learned from our January Elev8 Trades, January 26, 2025
US equities have moved a lot but gone basically nowhere over the past three weeks. These consolidations, especially if they are volatile, can be problematic for a trend-following portfolio allocation model like Elev8. It is the nature of trend following strategies that pivot points for trend change are also ideal accumulation points if the current
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | We Think it’s Still All About the Direction of Rates, January 20, 2025
Above 4.7% on the 10yr Yield, equities are likely to run into trouble. Below 4.5% is likely a green light for the bull.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Rising Rates Lead to a Sell Signal and Bearish Expectations, January 12, 2025
Going long Min vol. and selling out Discretionary as we expect a deeper correction for equities in the near-term
